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STOCK TRADE ↔ VOTE CORRELATIONS
30,326
correlations
719
high-score
44.3
avg score

Trade ↔ Vote Correlations

When members of Congress trade stocks within 30 days of voting on related legislation, we track it. Every correlation scored 0-100 based on timing, trade size, and industry match. Correlation is not accusation — but patterns are worth watching.

How Scoring Works

Timing (0-40 pts): Trades within 3 days of a vote score highest. Before-vote bonus (+10): Trading before voting is more suspicious. Amount (0-30 pts): Larger trades score higher. Industry match (0-20 pts): If the stock's industry matches the bill topic. Score ≥70 = flagged for review.

30,326
Correlations
49
Politicians
719
Score 70+
44.3
Avg Score

Highest Average Scores

55 avg (74)
50.9 avg (4702)
49.8 avg (65)
48.5 avg (221)
47.1 avg (112)
47 avg (9249)
46.7 avg (3505)
Angus King I ME
45.6 avg (4257)
45.4 avg (100)
45.3 avg (60)

Most Correlated Tickers

UNH
45.7 avg (896 trades)
45.5 avg (774 trades)
46.2 avg (705 trades)
47 avg (689 trades)
JPM
47.9 avg (578 trades)
45.5 avg (556 trades)
XOM
42.7 avg (454 trades)
41.5 avg (413 trades)
GD
48.4 avg (404 trades)
MU
41.2 avg (398 trades)

Correlations (30326 found)

30
Stock Trade
UBER purchase $8K
Timing
24 days before vote
Trade: Feb 6 → Vote: Jan 13, 2026
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: No
John Boozman bought UBER ($1,001-$15,000) 24 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Proceed to S.J. Res. 84
TRADED BEFORE VOTE UBER
30
Stock Trade
AMAT sale $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Feb 27 → Vote: Feb 4, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold AMAT ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Brian Charles Lea to be U.S. District Judge for the Western District of Te
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AMAT
Stock Trade
FBK purchase $8K
Timing
28 days before vote
Trade: Jan 15 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Recommit
Voted: Yes
Gilbert Cisneros bought FBK ($1,001-$15,000) 28 days after voting 'Yes' on On Motion to Recommit
TRADED BEFORE VOTE FBK
30
Stock Trade
PH sale $8K
Timing
28 days before vote
Trade: Jan 8 → Vote: Dec 11, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Not Voting
Byron Donalds sold PH ($1,001-$15,000) 28 days after voting 'Not Voting' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PH
30
Stock Trade
AAPL purchase $8K
Timing
26 days before vote
Trade: Apr 30 → Vote: Apr 4, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: No
Katie Britt bought AAPL ($1,001-$15,000) 26 days after voting 'No' on Warner Amdt. No. 1310
TRADED BEFORE VOTE AAPL
Stock Trade
DT sale $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 17, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Yes
Michael Patrick Guest sold DT ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'Yes' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE DT
Stock Trade
SIRI sale $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 13 → Vote: Dec 15, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass
Voted: Yes
August Lee Pfluger Ii sold SIRI ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on On Motion to Suspend the Rules and Pass
TRADED BEFORE VOTE SIRI
Angus King I ME
30
Stock Trade
MSFT sale $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Feb 13 → Vote: Jan 15, 2026
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
Angus King sold MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: H.R. 6938
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MSFT
Angus King I ME
30
Stock Trade
ADSK purchase $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Jul 21 → Vote: Jun 28, 2025
Vote
On the Motion to Proceed
Voted: No
Angus King bought ADSK ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Proceed to H.R. 1
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ADSK
30
Stock Trade
IBP sale $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 16 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Yes
David J. Taylor sold IBP ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'Yes' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE IBP
Stock Trade
AAPL sale $75K
Timing
28 days after vote
Trade: Dec 17 → Vote: Jan 14, 2026
Vote
On the Point of Order
Voted: Yes
Tommy Tuberville sold AAPL ($50,001-$100,000) 28 days before voting 'Yes' on Is the Point of Order Well Taken Re: To the Privilege Status of S.J. Res. 98
AAPL
Stock Trade
PEP sale $8K
Timing
24 days before vote
Trade: Feb 23 → Vote: Jan 30, 2026
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: Yes
Sheldon Whitehouse sold PEP ($1,001-$15,000) 24 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Waive All Applicable Budgetary Discipline Re: Merkley Amdt. No. 4287
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PEP
Stock Trade
DUK Purchase
Timing
8 days after vote
Trade: Sep 11 → Vote: Sep 19, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: Yes
Hon. Marjorie Taylor Greene sold DUK 8 days before voting 'Yes' on On Passage
DUK
30
Stock Trade
MSFT purchase $8K
Timing
26 days before vote
Trade: Apr 22 → Vote: Mar 27, 2025
Vote
On the Joint Resolution
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought MSFT ($1,001-$15,000) 26 days after voting 'Yes' on S.J.Res. 18
TRADED BEFORE VOTE MSFT
Stock Trade
ADI sale $8K
Timing
28 days before vote
Trade: Jun 18 → Vote: May 21, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: No
Shelley Moore Capito sold ADI ($1,001-$15,000) 28 days after voting 'No' on Motion to Recess for Ten Minutes
TRADED BEFORE VOTE ADI
Stock Trade
AFL sale $8K
Timing
15 days after vote
Trade: Jul 18 → Vote: Aug 2, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
Shelley Moore Capito sold AFL ($1,001-$15,000) 15 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Marcus Molinaro, of New York, to be Federal Transit Administrator
AFL
Stock Trade
PPG sale $8K
Timing
30 days before vote
Trade: Jul 30 → Vote: Jun 30, 2025
Vote
On the Motion
Voted: No
Shelley Moore Capito sold PPG ($1,001-$15,000) 30 days after voting 'No' on Blumenthal Motion to Commit H.R. 1 to the Committee on Armed Services with Instructions
TRADED BEFORE VOTE PPG
30
Stock Trade
LOW sale $8K
Timing
15 days after vote
Trade: May 20 → Vote: Jun 4, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold LOW ($1,001-$15,000) 15 days before voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Edward Walsh, of New Jersey, to be Ambassador of the United States of America to Irela
LOW
30
Stock Trade
MU sale $8K
Timing
20 days after vote
Trade: Jun 11 → Vote: Jul 1, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold MU ($1,001-$15,000) 20 days before voting 'Yes' on Amdt. No. 2360, as Amended
MU
30
Stock Trade
AVGO purchase $8K
Timing
20 days after vote
Trade: Jun 11 → Vote: Jul 1, 2025
Vote
On the Amendment
Voted: No
John Boozman bought AVGO ($1,001-$15,000) 20 days before voting 'No' on Warner Amdt. No. 2847
AVGO
30
Stock Trade
MU sale $8K
Timing
16 days after vote
Trade: Jul 1 → Vote: Jul 17, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold MU ($1,001-$15,000) 16 days before voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Joshua M. Divine to be U.S. District Judge for the Eastern and Western Dis
MU
30
Stock Trade
GIGB sale $8K
Timing
23 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 9, 2025
Vote
On the Nomination
Voted: Yes
John Boozman sold GIGB ($1,001-$15,000) 23 days after voting 'Yes' on Confirmation: Preston Griffith, of Virginia, to be Under Secretary of Energy
TRADED BEFORE VOTE GIGB
30
Stock Trade
JMBS purchase $8K
Timing
24 days before vote
Trade: Aug 1 → Vote: Jul 8, 2025
Vote
On the Cloture Motion
Voted: Yes
John Boozman bought JMBS ($1,001-$15,000) 24 days after voting 'Yes' on Motion to Invoke Cloture: Bryan Bedford to be Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration
TRADED BEFORE VOTE JMBS
Stock Trade
CSCO purchase $8K
Timing
22 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 18, 2025
Vote
On Passage
Voted: No
Gilbert Cisneros bought CSCO ($1,001-$15,000) 22 days after voting 'No' on On Passage
TRADED BEFORE VOTE CSCO
Stock Trade
SBAC sale $8K
Timing
29 days before vote
Trade: Jan 9 → Vote: Dec 11, 2025
Vote
On Motion to Table
Voted: No
Gilbert Cisneros sold SBAC ($1,001-$15,000) 29 days after voting 'No' on On Motion to Table
TRADED BEFORE VOTE SBAC
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55K+ individual and PAC contributions
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Epstein-linked figures × FEC donation records
PREDICTION MARKET ODDS — LIVE
via Polymarket ↗
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
100%
Vol $101.1M/24h
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
100%
Vol $54.6M/24h
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
38%
Vol $5.1M/24h
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
100%
Vol $3.8M/24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
3%
Vol $1.4M/24h
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
56%
Vol $1.4M/24h